SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 76.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Ujpest had a probability of 8.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.84%) and 1-0 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Ujpest win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ferencvaros in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Ujpest |
76.8% ( 0.59) | 15.09% ( -0.32) | 8.11% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 44.78% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.75% ( 0.55) | 39.25% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.42% ( 0.58) | 61.58% ( -0.57) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.53% ( 0.27) | 8.47% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.62% ( 0.66) | 29.38% ( -0.65) |
| Ujpest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.93% ( -0.27) | 51.07% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.61% ( -0.18) | 85.39% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Ujpest |
| 2-0 @ 13.18% 3-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.07)6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 3% Total : 76.79% | 1-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.61% Total : 15.09% | 0-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.82% Total : 8.11% |
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