Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 69.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for MTK had a probability of 12.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a MTK win it was 1-0 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
MTK	Draw	Ferencvaros
12.22% ( -0.43)	18.49% ( -0.32)	69.29% ( 0.75)

Both teams to score 48.77% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.44% (

0.4)

42.56% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.04% (

0.39)

64.96% (

-0.39)

MTK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.9% (

-0.45)

45.1% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.98% (

-0.36)

81.01% (

0.36)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.84% (

0.31)

11.16% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.37% (

0.68)

35.63% (

-0.68)

Score Analysis

MTK 12.22%

Ferencvaros 69.29%

Draw 18.49%

MTK	Draw	Ferencvaros
1-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.22%	1-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.83% Total : 18.49%	0-2 @ 12.1% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 8.85% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 7.04% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 4.85% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 3.86% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 2.13% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.75% Total : 69.29%