SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Lillestrom |
31.24% ( -0.05) | 23.88% ( -0.01) | 44.88% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.21% ( 0.01) | 41.78% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.81% ( 0.01) | 64.19% ( -0.01) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( -0.03) | 25.77% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.28% ( -0.04) | 60.72% ( 0.04) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.14% ( 0.03) | 18.86% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.68% ( 0.05) | 50.32% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.24% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 44.88% |
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