SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Haugesund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Aalesund |
53.7% ( -2.08) | 22.3% ( 0.63) | 24% ( 1.45) |
| Both teams to score 59.65% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.14% ( -1.29) | 39.86% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.78% ( -1.35) | 62.22% ( 1.35) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.13% ( -1.1) | 14.87% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.79% ( -2.15) | 43.21% ( 2.15) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% ( 0.51) | 29.93% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.97% ( 0.61) | 66.04% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Aalesund |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.28)3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.7% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.3% | 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.39)0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.07% Total : 24% |
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