SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sarpsborg 08 in this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
39.41% ( 0.42) | 24.84% ( 0.04) | 35.75% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.99% ( -0.25) | 45% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.64% ( -0.24) | 67.36% ( 0.24) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% ( 0.1) | 22.72% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.61% ( 0.15) | 56.38% ( -0.15) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( -0.37) | 24.65% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.82% ( -0.52) | 59.17% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.41% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.75% |
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