SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 73.82%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 10.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | FK Haugesund |
73.82% ( 0.02) | 15.72% ( -0.01) | 10.46% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.79% ( 0.05) | 34.21% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.9% ( 0.05) | 56.11% ( -0.05) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.07% ( 0.02) | 7.93% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.98% ( 0.04) | 28.03% ( -0.03) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.39% ( 0.02) | 42.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.04% ( 0.02) | 78.96% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | FK Haugesund |
| 2-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0)3-0 @ 9.17% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.81% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.95% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.51% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 73.82% | 1-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.72% | 1-2 @ 3.12% 0-1 @ 2.88% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 10.46% |
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