SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | FK Haugesund |
| 49.15% | 22.21% | 28.65% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 64.64% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.72% ( 0.01) | 35.28% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.7% ( 0.01) | 57.3% ( -0) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.24% ( 0) | 14.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57% ( 0) | 43% ( 0) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( 0.01) | 24.17% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.51% ( 0.01) | 58.49% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | FK Haugesund |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.91% 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.16% 4-1 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.99% 5-1 @ 1.08% 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 49.15% | 1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-1 @ 5.07% 0-2 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.65% |
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