SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
36.67% ( 0.02) | 24.94% ( -0.04) | 38.39% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.62% ( 0.16) | 45.37% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( 0.16) | 67.71% ( -0.16) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( 0.09) | 24.31% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.3% ( 0.12) | 58.69% ( -0.13) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( 0.08) | 23.4% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.61% ( 0.12) | 57.39% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.67% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.39% |
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