Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
0.9) 
-0.29) 
