SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
40.71% ( -0.02) | 24.54% ( 0.01) | 34.76% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.14% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.25% ( -0.03) | 43.75% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.86% ( -0.03) | 66.14% ( 0.04) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( -0.02) | 21.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.4% ( -0.04) | 54.6% ( 0.04) |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( -0.01) | 24.63% ( 0.01) |
