SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | France | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Austria | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Poland | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | France | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Austria | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Poland | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Poland had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Poland |
57.11% ( 0.31) | 22.88% ( -0.11) | 20.01% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.8% ( 0.21) | 47.19% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.57% ( 0.19) | 69.42% ( -0.19) |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.71% ( 0.18) | 16.28% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.15% ( 0.32) | 45.84% ( -0.33) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.27% ( -0.09) | 37.73% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.49% ( -0.08) | 74.5% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| France | Draw | Poland |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 57.1% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.88% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.58% Total : 20.01% |
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