Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 48.04%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
-0.85) 
0.97) 
