Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cremonese in this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
