SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Lazio |
38.84% ( 0.44) | 25.63% ( 0.1) | 35.53% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 55.43% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.4% ( -0.52) | 48.6% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.28% ( -0.48) | 70.72% ( 0.48) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( -0) | 24.62% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.87% ( -0) | 59.13% ( 0.01) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( -0.56) | 26.46% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.36% ( -0.75) | 61.64% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Frosinone | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.84% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.53% |
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