SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
51.91% ( 0.34) | 24.3% ( -0.14) | 23.79% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.11% ( 0.42) | 48.89% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.02% ( 0.38) | 70.98% ( -0.38) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( 0.3) | 18.81% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.76% ( 0.49) | 50.24% ( -0.49) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.96% ( 0.06) | 35.04% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.21% ( 0.06) | 71.78% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.9% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 23.79% |
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