Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 13.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.