Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
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