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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de Franceville
CA

Gabon
2 - 0
CAR

Aubameyang (11' pen.), Babicka (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mafouta (34'), Gambor (84'), Godame (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Morocco 4-1 Gabon
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21
Last Game: CAR 3-1 Lesotho
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Gabon 3-1 Central African Republic

Gabon have won their last two home matches, while Central African Republic are winless in their last four away games – taking these forms into consideration, we expect the home side to win this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 9.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.51%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Gabon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gabon.

Result
GabonDrawCentral African Republic
71.55% (-0.556 -0.56) 18.79% (0.3 0.3) 9.66% (0.2549 0.25)
Both teams to score 39.19% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.37% (-0.486 -0.49)50.62% (0.484 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.46% (-0.432 -0.43)72.53% (0.429 0.43)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.14% (-0.303 -0.3)12.85% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.77% (-0.627 -0.63)39.23% (0.626 0.63)
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.97% (0.238 0.24)55.02% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.1% (0.144 0.14)87.89% (-0.14500000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Gabon 71.54%
    Central African Republic 9.66%
    Draw 18.79%
GabonDrawCentral African Republic
2-0 @ 14.88% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 14.51% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 10.17% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.22% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.14% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 71.54%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.131 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.137 0.14)
2-2 @ 2.66% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 18.79%
0-1 @ 4.23% (0.112 0.11)
1-2 @ 2.59% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.26% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 9.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Morocco 4-1 Gabon
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Gabon
Friday, June 7 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Gabon 1-1 Congo
Monday, March 25 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Senegal 3-0 Gabon
Friday, March 22 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Burundi 1-2 Gabon
Sunday, November 19 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Gabon 2-1 Kenya
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: CAR 3-1 Lesotho
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ghana 4-3 CAR
Monday, June 10 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: CAR 1-0 Chad
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: CAR 4-0 P. New Guinea
Monday, March 25 at 9.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: CAR 6-0 Bhutan
Friday, March 22 at 9.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 1-1 CAR
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa


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