SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Kenya win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gabon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Gabon.
| Result | ||
| Gabon | Draw | Kenya |
58.97% ( 0.11) | 24.75% ( -0.05) | 16.27% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 40.53% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.75% ( 0.09) | 59.24% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.34% ( 0.07) | 79.66% ( -0.08) |
| Gabon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% ( 0.08) | 20.06% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.7% ( 0.13) | 52.29% ( -0.13) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.7% ( -0.03) | 49.29% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.83% ( -0.02) | 84.16% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gabon | Draw | Kenya |
| 1-0 @ 15.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 58.96% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.19% Other @ 0.43% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 16.27% |
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