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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
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Gambia
1 - 2
Comoros

Jatta (18')
Manneh (61'), Touray (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Said (25'), Maolida (90')
M'Changama (40'), Youssouf (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 1-0 Madagascar
Monday, October 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 1-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, October 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

We said: Gambia 1-1 Comoros

There was little to separate Gambia and Comoros in the first leg despite the number of chances created, and we believe that a similar outcome is likely at the final whistle on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Comoros win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Gambia has a probability of 34.17% and a draw has a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Gambia win is 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.33%).

Result
GambiaDrawComoros
34.17% (-1.765 -1.77) 28.77% (0.568 0.57) 37.06% (1.194 1.19)
Both teams to score 45.46% (-1.745 -1.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.92% (-2.098 -2.1)61.08% (2.096 2.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.94% (-1.601 -1.6)81.05% (1.598 1.6)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (-2.24 -2.24)33.51% (2.237 2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-2.527 -2.53)70.15% (2.524 2.52)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (-0.30799999999999 -0.31)31.62% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (-0.36 -0.36)68.03% (0.358 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Gambia 34.16%
    Comoros 37.06%
    Draw 28.75%
GambiaDrawComoros
1-0 @ 11.58% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.283 -0.28)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.319 -0.32)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.198 -0.2)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 34.16%
1-1 @ 13.33% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 10.59% (0.796 0.8)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.263 -0.26)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.75%
0-1 @ 12.2% (0.83 0.83)
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.02% (0.422 0.42)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 37.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gambia 1-0 Madagascar
Monday, October 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 1-1 Gambia
Friday, October 11 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 1-2 Tunisia
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 1-1 Gambia
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 5-1 Seychelles
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Gambia 2-3 Cameroon
Tuesday, January 23 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Comoros 1-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, October 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Comoros
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 1-1 Comoros
Monday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 1-1 Gambia
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 2-2 Mozambique (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, July 7 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Comoros 1-2 Angola
Friday, July 5 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup


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