SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Genk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Anderlecht |
42.88% ( 0.06) | 24.6% ( -0) | 32.52% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.24% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.37% ( -0.01) | 44.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% ( -0.01) | 67% ( 0.01) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% ( 0.03) | 20.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.38% ( 0.04) | 53.62% ( -0.04) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( -0.04) | 26.37% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.48% ( -0.05) | 61.52% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 6% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.6% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 32.52% |
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