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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 3
Apr 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Lotto Park

Anderlecht
2 - 1
Union SG

Dolberg (11'), Amuzu (76')
Debast (29'), Leoni (49'), Rits (57')
Debast (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Puertas (66' pen.)
Puertas (25'), Terho (85'), Machida (90+6')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Anderlecht and Union SG.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brugge 3-1 Anderlecht
Sunday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 2-3 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.

Result
AnderlechtDrawUnion SG
37.29% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 26.51% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 36.19% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.5% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.62% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)52.37% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)74.06% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)27.22% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (-0.123 -0.12)62.64% (0.12 0.12)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)27.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)63.47% (0.002999999999993 0)
Score Analysis
    Anderlecht 37.29%
    Union SG 36.19%
    Draw 26.51%
AnderlechtDrawUnion SG
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 37.29%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 36.19%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brugge 3-1 Anderlecht
Sunday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 1-0 Antwerp
Saturday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 0-1 Kortrijk
Saturday, March 16 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: RWDM 0-3 Anderlecht
Saturday, March 9 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 1-0 Eupen
Sunday, March 3 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 1-2 Anderlecht
Sunday, February 25 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 2-3 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Genk 1-0 Union SG
Monday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 1-1 Union SG
Sunday, March 17 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 0-1 Union SG
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Union SG 1-1 Gent
Sunday, March 10 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 0-3 Fenerbahce
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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