SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Genk had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Genk win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Union SG |
36.71% ( -0.07) | 25.11% | 38.18% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.83% ( -0) | 46.17% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.53% ( -0) | 68.47% ( 0.01) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( -0.04) | 24.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.81% ( -0.06) | 59.18% ( 0.06) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% ( 0.04) | 23.87% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.93% ( 0.05) | 58.06% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Union SG |
| 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 36.71% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.18% |
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