SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Fiorentina |
39.87% ( -0.05) | 23.98% ( 0.02) | 36.15% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.45% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.15% ( -0.08) | 40.84% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.76% ( -0.08) | 63.23% ( 0.08) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( -0.06) | 20.68% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.72% ( -0.09) | 53.27% ( 0.09) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( -0.02) | 22.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( -0.03) | 56.1% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.15% |
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