Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
41.83% (![]() | 25.65% (![]() | 32.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.66% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.71% (![]() | 49.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.65% (![]() | 71.34% (![]() |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% (![]() | 23.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% (![]() | 57.38% (![]() |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.36% (![]() | 28.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.55% (![]() | 64.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 9.73% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.83% | 1-1 @ 12.17% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.38% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.61% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.52% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: