SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
48.11% ( -0.44) | 24.43% ( -0.27) | 27.46% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 55.84% ( 1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.55% ( 1.63) | 46.45% ( -1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% ( 1.52) | 68.73% ( -1.52) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.61% ( 0.46) | 19.38% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.81% ( 0.75) | 51.19% ( -0.76) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( 1.4) | 30.72% ( -1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.02% ( 1.62) | 66.98% ( -1.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.54) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.11% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.42)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.98% Total : 27.46% |
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