SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Genk had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Genk win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Genk |
45.28% ( 0.3) | 24.76% ( 0.25) | 29.96% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( -1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.58% ( -1.4) | 46.42% ( 1.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.3% ( -1.33) | 68.7% ( 1.32) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% ( -0.44) | 20.57% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.9% ( -0.7) | 53.09% ( 0.7) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( -1.07) | 28.91% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.21% ( -1.35) | 64.79% ( 1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Genk |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.28% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.96% |
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