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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 19, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
LL

Genoa
0 - 1
Lazio


Vogliacco (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alberto (67')
Casale (16'), Cataldi (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Genoa
Monday, April 15 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 4-1 Salernitana
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 2-2 Lazio

The last six games between these sides at the Marassi have been goal-laden, and Friday's encounter should be no different. Genoa's four-game undefeated run (three draws) should become five, while Tudor's men should have enough up top to avoid losing in Liguria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawLazio
47.11% (0.509 0.51) 26.69% (-0.064 -0.06) 26.2% (-0.446 -0.45)
Both teams to score 47.92% (-0.158 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)56.33% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.64% (-0.029 -0.03)77.36% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (0.224 0.22)23.92% (-0.225 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87% (0.32100000000001 0.32)58.13% (-0.322 -0.32)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (-0.397 -0.4)37.01% (0.39400000000001 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (-0.394 -0.39)73.8% (0.392 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 47.11%
    Lazio 26.2%
    Draw 26.68%
GenoaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.06% (0.131 0.13)
2-1 @ 9% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 47.11%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.85% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 26.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Genoa
Monday, April 15 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-2 Genoa
Sunday, April 7 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Frosinone
Saturday, March 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, March 17 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-3 Monza
Saturday, March 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Genoa
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 4-1 Salernitana
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Lazio
Saturday, April 6 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Lazio
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Juventus
Saturday, March 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 2-3 Lazio
Saturday, March 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-2 Udinese
Monday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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