Nothing is expected to be decided on Tuesday, with neither Allegri nor Tudor going all out to win the first leg in Turin. This could see both sides play out a cagey stalemate, leaving all to play for on April 23.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
-0.05) 
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