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Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 2, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico
GL

Lazio
4 - 3
Genoa

Correa (30', 56'), Immobile (43' pen.), Alberto (48')
Leiva (45'), Cataldi (79'), Fares (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Marusic (47' og.), Scamacca (80' pen.), Shomurodov (81')
Biraschi (32'), Radovanovic (43'), Masiello (70'), Cassata (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawGenoa
66.78%19.26%13.96%
Both teams to score 51.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.1%41.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.7%64.3%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.36%11.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.33%36.67%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.02%41.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58%78.42%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 66.77%
    Genoa 13.96%
    Draw 19.26%
LazioDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 11.3%
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 7.03%
4-0 @ 4.36%
4-1 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 3.05%
5-0 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.64%
5-1 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 66.77%
1-1 @ 9.12%
0-0 @ 4.88%
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 19.26%
0-1 @ 4.24%
1-2 @ 3.96%
0-2 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.23%
1-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 13.96%

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