The priority for both of these teams this will season will be avoiding relegation, and we could see a cagey encounter play out as a result of that. In truth, there is little to split them in terms of individual quality.
Gil Vicente have collected all of their points on their home patch this season, meaning that we do not envisage them being beaten on Sunday. But Estrela have travelled well and are more than capable of avoiding defeat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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