SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Rio Ave |
43.04% ( 0.68) | 24.8% ( 0.37) | 32.16% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.4% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.33% ( -2.03) | 45.67% ( 2.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.01% ( -1.96) | 67.99% ( 1.96) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.74% ( -0.54) | 21.26% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.82% ( -0.85) | 54.18% ( 0.85) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( -1.62) | 27.1% ( 1.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.52% ( -2.16) | 62.48% ( 2.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.61)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.59% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.23)0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.48)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.16% |
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