SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Gil Vicente |
36.76% ( -0.03) | 25.37% ( 0) | 37.86% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.43% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.63% ( -0.02) | 47.37% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.41% ( -0.02) | 69.58% ( 0.01) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( -0.03) | 25.18% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.09% ( -0.04) | 59.9% ( 0.03) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% ( 0.01) | 24.58% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.93% ( 0.01) | 59.07% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arouca | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.76% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0)0-4 @ 1% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.86% Total : 37.86% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
