SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | SC Farense |
52.98% ( 0.19) | 22.92% ( -0.1) | 24.1% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.63% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.42% ( 0.39) | 42.58% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.02% ( 0.39) | 64.98% ( -0.39) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( 0.21) | 16.08% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.53% ( 0.38) | 45.46% ( -0.38) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% ( 0.14) | 31.32% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.32% ( 0.16) | 67.68% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | SC Farense |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.44% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 24.1% |
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