Farense will carry significant momentum into Sunday's contest after claiming back-to-back victories, and we think that they will make it three wins in three when they face a Gil Vicente side that are winless in six matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	SC Farense
52.98% ( 0.19)	22.92% ( -0.1)	24.1% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 57.63% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.42% (

0.39)

42.58% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.02% (

0.39)

64.98% (

-0.39)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.92% (

0.21)

16.08% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.53% (

0.38)

45.46% (

-0.38)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.68% (

0.14)

31.32% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.32% (

0.16)

67.68% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 52.98%

SC Farense 24.1%

Draw 22.91%

Gil Vicente	Draw	SC Farense
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 52.98%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.91%	1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 24.1%