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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
FL

Gil Vicente
2 - 0
Farense

Fujimoto (17'), Correia (19')
Dominguez (21'), Carlos (22'), Costa (23'), Toure (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, May 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 3-2 Estoril
Sunday, May 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 1-2 SC Farense

Farense will carry significant momentum into Sunday's contest after claiming back-to-back victories, and we think that they will make it three wins in three when they face a Gil Vicente side that are winless in six matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawSC Farense
52.98% (0.19 0.19) 22.92% (-0.104 -0.1) 24.1% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 57.63% (0.258 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.42% (0.387 0.39)42.58% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02% (0.386 0.39)64.98% (-0.38600000000001 -0.39)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.92% (0.206 0.21)16.08% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.53% (0.377 0.38)45.46% (-0.377 -0.38)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (0.13800000000001 0.14)31.32% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (0.158 0.16)67.68% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 52.98%
    SC Farense 24.1%
    Draw 22.91%
Gil VicenteDrawSC Farense
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.95% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.12% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.025 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.029 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 52.98%
1-1 @ 10.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.85% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 24.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, May 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-2 Arouca
Friday, April 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 0-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, April 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-4 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, April 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 3-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, April 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Famalicao
Friday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 3-2 Estoril
Sunday, May 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-3 Farense
Monday, April 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-3 Benfica
Monday, April 22 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-1 Farense
Saturday, April 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 2-0 Boavista
Friday, April 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


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