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FL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Jan 10, 2021 at 3pm UK
Estádio de São Luís
GV

Farense
3 - 1
Gil Vicente

Stojiljkovic (10'), Velho (15'), Isidoro (84')
Nunes (75')
Velho (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lourency (29')
Lourency (32'), Goncalves (68'), Fernandes (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
SC FarenseDrawGil Vicente
34.43%29.18%36.4%
Both teams to score 44.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.55%62.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.94%82.06%
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.94%34.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.26%70.74%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25%32.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69%69.31%
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 34.42%
    Gil Vicente 36.4%
    Draw 29.17%
SC FarenseDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 7.22%
2-0 @ 6.47%
3-1 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 13.41%
0-0 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.17%
0-1 @ 12.45%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 6.95%
1-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 36.4%

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