Gil Vicente and Famalicao have struggled to get going of late and will head into the weekend in search of a morale-boosting result. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts at the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
-0.35) 
0.41) 
