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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Walsall |
47.37% ( -1.21) | 24.29% ( 0.06) | 28.33% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.97% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.72% ( 0.5) | 45.28% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.38% ( 0.48) | 67.62% ( -0.47) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.78% ( -0.29) | 19.22% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.08% ( -0.49) | 50.92% ( 0.49) |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( 1.11) | 29.48% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.51% ( 1.33) | 65.49% ( -1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Walsall |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 47.37% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.32% Total : 28.33% |
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