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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Crawley Town |
42.02% ( -0.2) | 25.43% ( 0.11) | 32.55% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.42% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.69% ( -0.46) | 48.31% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.42) | 70.46% ( 0.42) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( -0.3) | 22.88% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.38% ( -0.44) | 56.62% ( 0.44) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% ( -0.17) | 28.14% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.18% ( -0.21) | 63.82% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.55% |
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