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League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
CT

Gillingham
0 - 2
Crawley


Ehmer (12'), Malone (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wright (24'), Roles (71')
Wright (24'), Darcy (45+3'), Maguire (63'), Campbell (73'), Adeyemo (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 1-0 Crawley Town

Goals have been hard to come by in this fixture of late, and we can see Tuesday's clash following suit. That said, we are backing Gillingham to get the better of their visitors and carry the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrawley Town
42.02% (-0.202 -0.2) 25.43% (0.111 0.11) 32.55% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.42% (-0.343 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46)48.31% (0.457 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.418 -0.42)70.46% (0.417 0.42)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.298 -0.3)22.88% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-0.44 -0.44)56.62% (0.439 0.44)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)28.14% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (-0.212 -0.21)63.82% (0.21100000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 42.02%
    Crawley Town 32.55%
    Draw 25.43%
GillinghamDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.116 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Forest Green 0-0 Gillingham
Friday, December 22 at 7pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Bradford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 3-1 Gillingham
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 3-1 Salford City
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Crawley
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Crawley
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Harrogate
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two


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