SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 38.57%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 30.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 2-1 (7.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.55%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Banfield |
38.57% ( -0.17) | 30.74% ( 0.02) | 30.69% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 39.71% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.29% ( -0.03) | 67.71% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.26% ( -0.02) | 85.74% ( 0.02) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.86% ( -0.12) | 34.14% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.17% ( -0.13) | 70.83% ( 0.13) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.3% ( 0.1) | 39.7% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.63% ( 0.09) | 76.37% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 14.56% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.57% | 0-0 @ 13.55% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 13.45% 2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.73% | 0-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 1.44% Total : 30.68% |
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