SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 44.4%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 26.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Gimnasia |
44.4% ( -0.87) | 28.68% ( 0.15) | 26.93% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 43.13% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.3% ( -0.14) | 62.7% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.75% ( -0.1) | 82.25% ( 0.1) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.8% ( -0.52) | 28.19% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.11% ( -0.67) | 63.89% ( 0.67) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.07% ( 0.55) | 39.93% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.41% ( 0.5) | 76.59% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 14.25% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.62% Total : 44.39% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.66% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.39% Total : 26.92% |
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