SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 70.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 10.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.86%) and 3-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Gimnasia |
70.82% ( -0.93) | 18.89% ( 0.61) | 10.29% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 41.09% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.65% ( -1.64) | 49.35% ( 1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.61% ( -1.49) | 71.39% ( 1.49) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.31% ( -0.74) | 12.69% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.12% ( -1.55) | 38.88% ( 1.55) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.07% ( -0.39) | 52.93% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.39% ( -0.25) | 86.61% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 2-0 @ 14.31% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.53)3-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.2)5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.65% Total : 70.81% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.46% Total : 18.89% | 0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.85% Total : 10.29% |
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