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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 3, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
2 - 4
Lanus

Licht (22', 82')
Aleman (29'), Licht (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Perez (15', 33'), Esquivel (46'), De la Vega (80')
Aude (29'), Belmonte (38'), Esquivel (63')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Gimnasia and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawLanus
38.84%27.48%33.68%
Both teams to score 49.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.54%56.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.53%77.47%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.72%28.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36%64%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54%31.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15%67.85%
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 38.83%
    Lanus 33.67%
    Draw 27.48%
GimnasiaDrawLanus
1-0 @ 11.23%
2-1 @ 8.21%
2-0 @ 7.1%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.09%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.83%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.9%
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 10.28%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-2 @ 5.95%
1-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 33.67%

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