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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
CL

Girona
4 - 1
Cadiz

Garcia (9'), Martin (22'), Dovbyk (71'), Portu (82')
Gutierrez (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Escalante (81')
Fernandez (31'), Chust (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Girona
Saturday, April 13 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, April 13 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 2-0 Cadiz

Girona's home form has been so strong this season, and we are finding it very difficult to back Cadiz to pick up a positive result considering their away struggles in 2023-24. Cadiz are capable of making it a tricky match for the hosts, but we are expecting Michel's side to triumph in routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 14.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawCadiz
65.06% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 20.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 14.57% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.18% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.49% (0.033999999999999 0.03)45.51% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.16% (0.031999999999996 0.03)67.84% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.8% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)13.2% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)39.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.66% (0.073 0.07)43.34% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.42% (0.059999999999999 0.06)79.58% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Girona 65.04%
    Cadiz 14.57%
    Draw 20.37%
GironaDrawCadiz
2-0 @ 11.72% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 65.04%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 20.37%
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.05% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 14.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Girona
Saturday, April 13 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 3-2 Betis
Sunday, March 31 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Girona
Saturday, March 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 2-0 Osasuna
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Girona
Sunday, March 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, February 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, April 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Granada
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Cadiz
Friday, March 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Atletico
Saturday, March 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, March 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 2-2 Celta Vigo
Sunday, February 25 at 1pm in La Liga


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