Girona will be the more confident of the two sides entering this match, but they have only won once on their travels in the league this season, so it is difficult to back them to triumph here. Cadiz have lost just three times at home, meanwhile, drawing five of their 10 matches, and we are backing another stalemate here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 37%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
-0.51) 
0.71) 
