SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Twente |
25.69% ( -0.27) | 22.8% ( -0.16) | 51.51% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.49% ( 0.54) | 40.51% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.11% ( 0.55) | 62.89% ( -0.54) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( 0.08) | 28.95% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.17% ( 0.1) | 64.84% ( -0.1) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( 0.35) | 15.85% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.96% ( 0.63) | 45.04% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.37% Total : 25.69% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.93% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.62% Total : 51.51% |
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