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Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
De Adelaarshorst
FT

Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 3
FC Twente

Llansana (71')
Kuipers (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ugalde (1'), Steijn (24'), Taha (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, November 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 0-3 PSV
Saturday, November 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 FC Twente

After failing to win any of their last three games, Twente will be desperate to return to winning ways in Sunday's encounter. However, we think that the visitors will have to settle for a point against their hosts who have put together a 13-game unbeaten home run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawFC Twente
25.69% (-0.265 -0.27) 22.8% (-0.165 -0.16) 51.51% (0.432 0.43)
Both teams to score 59.79% (0.314 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.49% (0.535 0.54)40.51% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.11% (0.547 0.55)62.89% (-0.544 -0.54)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.084000000000003 0.08)28.95% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17% (0.103 0.1)64.84% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15% (0.346 0.35)15.85% (-0.343 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.96% (0.633 0.63)45.04% (-0.631 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 25.69%
    FC Twente 51.51%
    Draw 22.79%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 6.49% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.69% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 25.69%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 9.65% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 7.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.93% (0.078 0.08)
0-3 @ 4.78% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.67% (0.057 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.73% (0.067 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.2% (0.049 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.69% (0.046 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 51.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, November 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, November 11 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 5-1 Vitesse
Saturday, November 4 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, October 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 Sparta
Sunday, October 22 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 4-0 Heracles
Saturday, October 7 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 0-3 PSV
Saturday, November 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, November 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-1 FC Twente
Sunday, November 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 2-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 29 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-2 FC Twente
Sunday, October 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 0-3 FC Twente
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie


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