SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 0-1 (7.85%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Twente |
22.39% ( 0.73) | 21.27% ( 0.28) | 56.34% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.25% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.18% ( -0.39) | 36.81% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.01% ( -0.43) | 58.99% ( 0.43) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% ( 0.42) | 29.58% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.39% ( 0.5) | 65.61% ( -0.5) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.98% ( -0.42) | 13.02% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.44% ( -0.87) | 39.56% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.09% Total : 22.39% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8% ( -0.11)0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.63% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.38% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.92% Total : 56.34% |
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