SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
37.52% ( 1.35) | 23.6% ( 0.1) | 38.88% ( -1.45) |
| Both teams to score 63.01% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.13% ( -0.38) | 38.87% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.82% ( -0.4) | 61.18% ( 0.4) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( 0.51) | 20.95% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.31% ( 0.78) | 53.69% ( -0.78) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( -0.82) | 20.29% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.34% ( -1.34) | 52.66% ( 1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.52% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.03% Total : 38.88% |
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