SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heracles |
50.11% ( 0.47) | 22.49% ( -0.08) | 27.4% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 62.54% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.4% ( 0.08) | 37.6% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.17% ( 0.09) | 59.83% ( -0.09) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( 0.19) | 15.27% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.02% ( 0.36) | 43.98% ( -0.36) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( -0.22) | 26.18% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.73% ( -0.3) | 61.27% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.99% Total : 50.11% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 27.4% |
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