SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 67.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | NEC |
67.5% ( -0.48) | 18.58% ( 0.26) | 13.91% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.55% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.15% ( -0.69) | 38.85% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.84% ( -0.72) | 61.16% ( 0.72) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.42% ( -0.31) | 10.58% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.64% ( -0.7) | 34.35% ( 0.7) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.88% ( -0.12) | 40.11% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.24% ( -0.11) | 76.76% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | NEC |
| 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.44% Total : 67.5% | 1-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.58% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 13.91% |
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